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Lottery predictions; Bah, humbug. That is what many people say. Others think that using lottery number analysis to make lottery predictions is perfectly valid. Who's right? Many players are simply left sitting on the fence with no clear path to follow. If you don't know what your location is, then, perhaps this information will reveal the reality and provide you with a clearer picture of who's right.

The talk Over Making Lottery Predictions

Here is the argument typically espoused by the lottery prediction skeptics. It goes something like this:

Predicting lottery numbers is wasted effort. Why analyze a lottery to make lottery predictions? After all, it's a random game of chance. Lottery number patterns or trends don't exist. Everybody knows that every lottery number is every bit likely to hit and, ultimately, all the numbers will hit the same number of times.

The very best Defense Is Logic and Reason

At first, the arguments appear solid and based on a sound mathematical foundation. But, you are about to realize that the mathematics used to support their position is misunderstood and misapplied.

First, let's address the misunderstanding. In the mathematical field of probability, there is a theorem called the Law of Large Numbers. It really claims that, as the number of trials increase, the results will approach the expected mean or average value. When it comes to lottery, which means that eventually all lottery numbers will hit the same number of times.The second misunderstanding centers round the utilisation of the word 'approach'. If we are going to 'approach the expected mean', how close do we need to get before we're satisfied?

Second, let's discuss the misapplication. Misunderstanding the theorem leads to its misapplication. I'll demonstrate what i'm saying by asking the questions that the skeptics forget to inquire about. The number of drawings will it take before the results will approach the expected mean? And, what's the expected mean?

Lotto Statistics

According to the lottery, the skeptic proceeds to apply this theorem but never specifies exactly what the expected value should be nor the number of drawings required.

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